Home » 2023 Valero Texas Open picks, bets, predictions, field: Golf expert fading Tyrrell Hatton at TPC San Antonio

2023 Valero Texas Open picks, bets, predictions, field: Golf expert fading Tyrrell Hatton at TPC San Antonio

The last chance to qualify for next week’s Masters comes at the 2023 Valero Texas Open, starting on Thursday. The tournament concludes the PGA Tour’s two-week Texas swing with play teeing off from the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. Any golfer who wins the Valero Texas Open 2023 will automatically qualify for the Masters, creating lots of motivation amongst the field. Eight of the top 50 players in the World Rankings are competing this week, including Tyrrell Hatton (No. 17), Hideki Matsuyama (No. 21), Sepp Straka (No. 32) and Chris Kirk (No. 34).

It is Hatton who is the 13-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Valero Texas Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and he’s already qualified for Augusta. Corey Conners, who won this event in 2019, is next up at 17-1, while Rickie Fowler (20-1) needs a win to make the Masters field. Before making any 2023 Valero Texas Open picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He’s had incredible success in the outright market, first-round leader market and betting head-to-head matchups. In 2022, he hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span while peppering in tournament outrights throughout the year. In 2023, Sportsline debuted “The Early Wedge,” and in the first three months of the show, he has hit two FRLs and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in eight of 10 weeks (including full tournament sweeps on head-to-head plays). He is up more than 70 units over that three-month span.

Now, Nejad has studied the 2023 Valero Texas Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Nejad’s PGA picks and analysis.  

Top 2023 Valero Texas Open expert picks

In a huge surprise, Nejad is fading Hatton, despite him being the favorite and the highest-ranked golfer in the field. Hatton may top the World Rankings among those competing in the 2023 Valero Texas Open, but he’s just eighth in FedEx Cup standings amongst the field. The latter focuses more on his 2022-23 season, which has been inconsistent and has as many finishes 40th or worse (three) than finishes in the top 10. Hatton is coming off a 59th-place finish last week in Austin, and his 119th tour ranking in greens in regulation percentage makes him a risky back for this week.

Nejad will also be keeping an eye on Fowler, who has top 25s in five of his last six events. Always a fan favorite, Fowler has seen a resurgence in play as he was ranked 130th at this time a year ago but is now in the top 60. He averages 4.42 birdies per round, which is the 12th-most on tour, and that ranking looks even better when you consider the relatively weak field of the Valero Texas Open 2023. Birdies are paramount for success at this event as the last four winners have averaged 17-under-par, so Fowler’s ability to consistently break par should keep him in contention. See who he is backing at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Valero Texas Open golf picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Texas Open and has tabbed his longshots, including one who comes in at massive odds of more than 70-1. This golfer can catch fire with his putter, and watered-down fields like this are perfect for finding value in longshot players like him. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 Texas Open? And which golfer in the Texas Open 2023 field could bring a monster payday of well over 70-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s top prop picks for Texas Open 2023, all from the expert who is locked in on golf betting and DFS, and find out.

2023 Valero Texas Open odds, field, top contenders

See Nejad’s picks, best bets and predictions here.

Tyrrell Hatton +1300
Corey Conners +1700
Rickie Fowler +2000
Si Woo Kim +2100
Hideki Matsuyama +2400
Taylor Montgomery +2800
Matt Kuchar +2800
Chris Kirk +3100
Davis Riley +3400
J.J. Spaun +3400
Matt Wallace +3700
Ben Griffin +4100
Thomas Detry +4400
Cameron Davis +4400
Adam Schenk +4800
Taylor Pendrith +4800
Brendon Todd +4800
Alex Noren +4800
Aaron Rai +5000
Nick Taylor +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Andrew Putnam +5000
Ryan Fox +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5500
Nicolai Hojgaard +5500
Sam Ryder +5500
Alex Smalley +6500
Francesco Molinari +7000
Brandon Wu +7500
Will Gordon +8500
Tyler Duncan +8500
Ryan Palmer +8500
Luke List +8500
Emiliano Grillo +9000
Pierceson Coody +9000
Erik Van Rooyen +9000
Beau Hossler +9000
Sepp Straka +9000
Austin Eckroat +10000
Ben Martin +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
S.H. Kim +10000
Byeong Hun An +10000
Robby Shelton +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Trey Mullinax +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Hayden Buckley +10000
Harry Hall +10000
Nate Lashley +11000
Padraig Harrington +11000
Sam Stevens +11000
Garrick Higgo +11000
David Lingmerth +11000
Kevin Streelman +12000
Patrick Rodgers +12000
Mark Hubbard +13000
Lanto Griffin +13000
Kramer Hickok +13000
Nick Hardy +13000
Lee Hodges +13000
Charley Hoffman +13000
Matthew NeSmith +13000
Dylan Frittelli +14000
Troy Merritt +14000
Joseph Bramlett +14000
Russell Knox +15000
Kevin Chappell +15000
Kazuki Higa +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Scott Piercy +16000
Matthias Schwab +16000
Cameron Champ +16000
Henrik Norlander +16000
Ben Taylor +16000
Callum Tarren +16000
Chad Ramey +16000
Adam Long +16000
Greyson Sigg +16000
Matthias Schmid +16000
Michael Kim +18000
Martin Laird +18000
MJ Daffue +18000
Michael Thompson +19000