Home » Illinois vs. Michigan State odds, props, predictions: Spartans need home win to bolster March Madness resume | Sporting News

Illinois vs. Michigan State odds, props, predictions: Spartans need home win to bolster March Madness resume | Sporting News

Michigan State looks to get revenge on the Fighting Illini after falling in Champaign in a tight game earlier this season. This time, MSU will have to contend with Illinois’ leading scorer, Terrance Shannon Jr., being available.


Illinois is 17-5 overall and has been a solid spread bet with an 11-7-4 ATS record. The offense has been almost unstoppable since Shannon’s return, hitting the OVER for total points in six of their last seven games. The Illini are one game back of first-place Purdue in the Big Ten race. The Spartans may need a win for their tournament resume, but Illinois is trying to win the Big Ten.

The Spartans have had some bad luck this season and have often come up short in clutch time. The Spartans are 14-9 and have been decent against the spread with a 12-10-1 ATS record. The Spartans’ defense has stepped up in recent matchups, hitting the UNDER for a total of points in six of their last eight. Coming off a loss as a favorite over Illinois, the Spartans need some Quad 1 wins over teams like Illinois to ensure their spot in the NCAA Tournament.

Here is the Illinois vs. Michigan State betting news, team props and a betting prediction for Saturday’s Big Ten matchup. The game tips off at 2 p.m. on CBS.

Live odds for Illinois vs. Michigan State

Here are the spread, moneyline and total points live odds for Illinois vs. Michigan State at the best online sportsbooks.


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Illinois Fighting Illini betting news

The Fighting Illini are a tough team, and dealing with the Terrance Shannon Jr. suspension could have been a fatal blow for some squads. Illinois has shown incredible resilience, and the suspension forced other players to step up. Now Illinois has Shannon back and has another player that has proven he can score at a similar level. 

After Shannon’s suspension, Marcus Domask has averaged 21.7 PPG. Before the absence, Domask was averaging just 11.6 PPG. With Domask’s emergence, the Fighting Illini now have two players that are 20-plus point scorers on a nightly basis. That makes the opposing team’s challenge of stopping them next to impossible. The Illini offense ranks seventh for adjusted efficiency, a metric that has only climbed in recent weeks.

Their defense has also been strong, ranking 32nd for adjusted efficiency, which has come against some incredible competition with the 49th-ranked strength of schedule on Kenpom. If Illinois can come to East Lansing and pull off a big win, it will further strengthen their case for being a National Championship contender.

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Illinois Fighting Illini team futures

Here are some of the top futures markets for the Illinois Fighting Illini from the top college basketball sportsbooks.

  • Illinois to win the National Championship: +3500 (BetMGM Sportsbook)
  • Illinois to make it to the Final Four: +800 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • Illinois to win the Big Ten: +1500 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Michigan State betting news

The Spartans season has been one of the most perplexing of Tom Izzo’s tenure. Michigan State ranks 17th for adjusted efficiency margin on Kenpom. They boast the 35th offense and 20th-ranked defense for adjusted efficiency while playing the 11th-most difficult schedule. But the Spartans have lost many close games and come up short in crunch time too often.

Before the season, the Spartans were supposed to be part of a handful of teams in the country listed as National Championship favorites. Their inability to win the close ones has all but taken them out of that conversation. Tom Izzo-led teams have often struggled early, but at some point usually flip the switch and become dangerous, often making runs to Final Fours when no one expects it.

To even have a chance to do that, Michigan State has to make the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans have the second-longest streak in college basketball history of making the Big Dance, having qualified for the last 25. That streak is in more danger of ending than any season in recent memory. The Spartans need some big wins and have the opportunity with Illinois coming to town.

The Spartans need their veterans to step up, especially late in the game. Tyson Walker leads the team scoring 19 points per game, and A.J. Hoggard is a solid big-body point guard, averaging 11.2 PPG and 5.2 assists. Malik Hall has been fantastic lately, but looking at their Minnesota loss, he did not get enough touches down the stretch. He carried the team to their win over Maryland, scoring 12 points in the final six minutes. 

Yet the senior forward only had two field goal attempts in the second half of their loss to the Gophers. Michigan State has won six of the last seven contests when Hall is in double digits but has lost their last two when he scores less than 10. The Spartans need to get Hall more shots, and the senior needs to be more assertive for Michigan State to be at their best.

Michigan State Spartans team futures

Here are some of the top futures markets for the Michigan State Spartans from the best online sportsbooks.

  • Michigan State to win the National Championship: +5000 (BetMGM Sportsbook)
  • Michigan State to make it to the Final Four: +1700 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Illinois vs. Michigan State prediction: Illinois steals one on the road

The Fighting Illini will likely have a 40-minute battle in East Lansing, but similar to their win at home over Michigan State, it will come down to the final minutes. The Illini have proven they are the better team in clutch time, which will help them pull off a big win on Saturday.

Pick: Illinois